Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 24/07, 19:00
Prediction: Isabella Marton vs Jia-Jing Lu
Prediction summary
Winner
Isabella Marton
Jia-Jing Lu
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Isabella Marton
4-6 (W-L)
Jia-Jing Lu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabella Marton 1568 · Jia-Jing Lu 1495
| Isabella Marton | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabella Marton (rating 1568 vs 1495).
- Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Isabella Marton | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.9 | 11.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabella Marton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Thara Gowda W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Nadia Lagaev W75 Granby |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Josie Usereau W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Ana Grubor W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Hephzibah Oluwadare W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Julie Adele Bedard W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefania Rogozinska-Dzik W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Jia-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Dasha Plekhanova W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Anna Frey W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Monika Ekstrand W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Chenting Zhu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Jiaqi Wang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabella Marton vs Jia-Jing Lu?
Our model gives 62% to Jia-Jing Lu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.