Tennis · ATP Estoril · 26/07, 18:30
Prediction: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx
Team pages: Luca Van Assche · Alexander Blockx
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Van Assche
Alexander Blockx
Estimated games
25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Van Assche
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Blockx
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luca Van Assche
1–0
Alexander Blockx
(1 last)
- 22 Feb2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Van Assche 1613 · Alexander Blockx 1550
| Luca Van Assche | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Van Assche (rating 1613 vs 1550).
- Luca Van Assche is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Luca Van Assche 1–0 Alexander Blockx (1).
- Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Luca Van Assche | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.8 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-10 | 14.7-14.9 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5
H2H · Luca Van Assche 1 – 0 Alexander Blockx (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luca Van Assche 1–0 Alexander Blockx
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Challenger Lille | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alexander Blockx
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 24/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 24/05 | Coleman Wong French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Alexander Zverev ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/05 | Federico Cina ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/05 | Alexander Zverev ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockx?
Our model gives 51% to Alexander Blockx, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.