Tennis · ATP Estoril · 24/07, 19:30
Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderi
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Luciano Darderi
Estimated games
25.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
7-3 (W-L)
Luciano Darderi
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jaime Faria
1–1
Luciano Darderi
(2 last)
- 25 Feb2-0 12-7W
- 27 Mar0-2 1-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1550 · Luciano Darderi 1542
| Jaime Faria | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 10.1 aces and 48.4% break avg.
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.3-13.4 | 14.3-12.2 |
| Aces | 10.1 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 78.1% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8
H2H · Jaime Faria 1 – 1 Luciano Darderi (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaime Faria 1–1 Luciano Darderi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/25 ATP Santiago | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/03/22 Challenger Oeiras | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-19 | W |
| 25/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 24/06 | Luka Pavlovic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Hugo Grenier Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Luciano Darderi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Ethan Quinn Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Francisco Comesana French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-25 | L |
| 26/05 | Sebastian Ofner French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderi?
Our model gives 56% to Luciano Darderi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.