Tennis · ATP Estoril · 24/07, 11:00
Prediction: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockx
Prediction summary
Winner
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Alexander Blockx
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Roman Andres Burruchaga
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Blockx
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Roman Andres Burruchaga
2–0
Alexander Blockx
(2 last)
- 29 Dec2-0 13-6W
- 25 Jul2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roman Andres Burruchaga 1523 · Alexander Blockx 1536
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Roman Andres Burruchaga 2–0 Alexander Blockx (2).
- Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.8 | 13.6-13.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 27.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
H2H · Roman Andres Burruchaga 2 – 0 Alexander Blockx (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roman Andres Burruchaga 2–0 Alexander Blockx
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/24 Challenger Canberra | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/07/24 Challenger Zug | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Andres Burruchaga
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 12-23 | L |
Alexander Blockx
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 24/05 | Coleman Wong French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Alexander Zverev ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/05 | Federico Cina ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/05 | Alexander Zverev ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Casper Ruud ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/04 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockx?
Our model gives 55% to Alexander Blockx, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.