Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 24/07, 17:00
Prediction: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oliver Crawford
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moro Canas
Oliver Crawford
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moro Canas
5-5 (W-L)
Oliver Crawford
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moro Canas 1531 · Oliver Crawford 1573
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Crawford (rating 1531 vs 1573).
Statistics
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-14.3 | 13-10 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Harold Mayot Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Francisco Comesana Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 05/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Oliver Crawford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 15/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Pablo Perez Navarro Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Yanki Erel M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Dan Added M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Robin Bertrand M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Mae Malige M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Rigele Te M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oliver Crawford?
Our model gives 50% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.