Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 24/07, 11:00
Prediction: Paul Inchauspe vs Keegan Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Paul Inchauspe
Keegan Smith
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Paul Inchauspe
7-3 (W-L)
Keegan Smith
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paul Inchauspe 1578 · Keegan Smith 1570
| Paul Inchauspe | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Keegan Smith dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 53.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Paul Inchauspe | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.6 | 12.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paul Inchauspe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Hugo Grenier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Keegan Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Moez Echargui Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paul Inchauspe vs Keegan Smith?
Our model gives 50% to Paul Inchauspe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.