Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 23/07, 20:00
Prediction: Erika Sema vs Teah Chavez
Prediction summary
Winner
Erika Sema
Teah Chavez
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Erika Sema
7-3 (W-L)
Teah Chavez
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Erika Sema 1491 · Teah Chavez 1453
| Erika Sema | Teah Chavez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Erika Sema makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Erika Sema | Teah Chavez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.1 | 10.5-12 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Erika Sema
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Kelly Keller W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Cadence Brace W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Avery Alexander W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Naomi Xu W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Chia Yi Tsao W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Sara Saito W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Eunhye Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Evialina Laskevich W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Mei Yamaguchi W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Ke Ren W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Teah Chavez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Margaret Sohns W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Granby |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/10 | Olivia Lincer ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 24/10 | Ayumi Koshiishi ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Adriana Reami ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Raphaelle Lacasse ITF W35 Quebec City |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Haruna Arakawa ITF W35 Quebec City |
1-1 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Lilian Poling ITF W35 Quebec City |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Katherine Sebov ITF W50 Saskatoon |
1-1 | 7-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Erika Sema vs Teah Chavez?
Our model gives 57% to Erika Sema, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.