Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 23/07, 20:00

Prediction: Alyssa Ahn vs Ana Grubor

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Alyssa Ahn Ana Grubor
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alyssa Ahn 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLWWLL
Ana Grubor 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alyssa Ahn 1537 · Ana Grubor 1513
Alyssa AhnAna Grubor
Our model53%47%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ana Grubor makes many double faults (7.9/match).

Statistics

Alyssa AhnAna Grubor
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.2-9.39.8-9.4
Aces0.51.9
Double faults2.27.9
1st serve %58.5%59.2%
Break %47.3%54.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alyssa Ahn

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Nadia Lagaev
W35 Saskatoon
2-1 12-10 W
10/07 Alina Shcherbinina
W15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 3-12 L
09/07 Isabella Foshee
W15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 12-2 W
08/07 Jessica Bernales
W15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-1 14-13 W
01/07 Katherine Hui
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
1-2 12-13 L
28/06 Alexis Nguyen
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/06 Midori Castillo Meza
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/06 Salma Ewing
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
25/06 Anya Arora
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/06 Anna Tabunshchyk
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Ana Grubor

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Abigeyle Bhopal
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 12-1 W
16/07 Kayla Cross
W75 Granby
0-2 5-12 L
14/07 Rachael Smith
W75 Granby
2-0 12-0 W
10/07 Sakura Hosogi
W50 Columbus
0-2 9-13 L
09/07 Francoise Abanda
W50 Columbus
2-1 18-15 W
08/07 Isabella Marton
W50 Columbus
2-0 12-8 W
29/06 Mary Lewis
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/06 Lea Ma
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
11/06 Olivia Lincer
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
2-1 12-13 W
10/06 Ena Koike
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
1-1 8-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alyssa Ahn vs Ana Grubor?

Our model gives 60% to Alyssa Ahn, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.