Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 23/07, 22:30

Prediction: Lizette Cabrera vs Anna Tabunshchyk

Prediction summary
Winner
76% 24%
Lizette Cabrera Anna Tabunshchyk
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lizette Cabrera 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLLW
Anna Tabunshchyk 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lizette Cabrera 1511 · Anna Tabunshchyk 1460
Lizette CabreraAnna Tabunshchyk
Our model57%43%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lizette Cabrera (rating 1511 vs 1460).
  • Lizette Cabrera is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Lizette Cabrera makes many double faults (6.9/match).
  • Note: Anna Tabunshchyk makes many double faults (7.2/match).

Statistics

Lizette CabreraAnna Tabunshchyk
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.30.9-1.4
Games (G-P)13.5-12.29.7-11.3
Aces2.42.8
Double faults6.97.2
1st serve %60%58.5%
Break %55.3%47.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lizette Cabrera

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Dasha Ivanova
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 13-7 W
15/07 Lea Ma
W75 Granby
1-2 14-16 L
13/07 Dasha Plekhanova
W75 Granby
2-1 16-14 W
19/05 Sohyun Park
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
1-2 12-13 L
15/05 Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Kurume · ~Carpet
0-2 6-12 L
14/05 Kisa Yoshioka
W75 Kurume · ~Carpet
2-1 18-14 W
12/05 Katy Dunne
W75 Kurume · ~Carpet
2-1 17-13 W
08/05 Zhuoxuan Bai
WTA Jiujiang · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Zongyu Li
WTA Jiujiang · Hard
2-1 18-11 W
05/05 Aoi Ito
WTA Jiujiang · Hard
2-1 15-10 W

Anna Tabunshchyk

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Naomi Xu
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 14-11 W
15/07 Elizabeth Mandlik
W75 Granby
0-2 1-12 L
13/07 Kallista Liu
W75 Granby
2-0 12-5 W
12/07 Anissa Saada
W75 Granby
2-0 12-3 W
01/07 Jo Yee Chan
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
24/06 Alyssa Ahn
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
17/06 Patsy Daughters
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/04 Capucine Jauffret
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
30/03 Wozuko Mdlulwa
W35 Junin · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/03 Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
W15 Santiago
1-2 13-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lizette Cabrera vs Anna Tabunshchyk?

Our model gives 76% to Lizette Cabrera, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.