Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 23/07, 09:00
Prediction: Emma Ottavia Ghirardato vs Andrea Obradovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
Andrea Obradovic
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
5-5 (W-L)
Andrea Obradovic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Ottavia Ghirardato 1532 · Andrea Obradovic 1619
| Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | Andrea Obradovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Obradovic (rating 1532 vs 1619).
- Andrea Obradovic is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Andrea Obradovic makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | Andrea Obradovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.5 | 12.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Elena Milutinovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Kiara Cvetkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Ellie Daniels W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Amelie Van Impe W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Olga Bienzobas Fernandez W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Maria Trujillo Garnica W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Mariya Yemshanova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Marie Mettraux W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Andrea Obradovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Maria Golovina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Mia Horvit UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Alessandra Teodosescu UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Ida Clement UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Mia Chudejova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Khrystyna Vozniak UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nina Tepic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Ottavia Ghirardato vs Andrea Obradovic?
Our model gives 60% to Andrea Obradovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.