Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 23/07, 09:00
Prediction: Ulyana Hrabavets vs Gala Ivanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ulyana Hrabavets
Gala Ivanovic
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ulyana Hrabavets
7-3 (W-L)
Gala Ivanovic
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ulyana Hrabavets 1579 · Gala Ivanovic 1477
| Ulyana Hrabavets | Gala Ivanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ulyana Hrabavets (rating 1579 vs 1477).
- Ulyana Hrabavets is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ulyana Hrabavets | Gala Ivanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.9 | 9.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ulyana Hrabavets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Aya El Sayed W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/05 | Olga Danilova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/05 | Sandra Samir W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Maria Shmeleva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Fatema Khairy W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/05 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Nada Fouad W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 14/05 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 13/05 | Vlada Mincheva W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Gala Ivanovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Ela Nala Milic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 25/06 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Andzhelina Kostova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Mia Horvit W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Elena Milutinovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Laura Samsonova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Michaela Bayerlova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Kristina Kovgan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ulyana Hrabavets vs Gala Ivanovic?
Our model gives 56% to Ulyana Hrabavets, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.