Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 23/07, 09:00
Prediction: Lucie Urbanova vs Marianne Argyrokastriti
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Urbanova
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Urbanova
4-6 (W-L)
Marianne Argyrokastriti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Urbanova 1503 · Marianne Argyrokastriti 1539
| Lucie Urbanova | Marianne Argyrokastriti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucie Urbanova | Marianne Argyrokastriti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.3 | 9.7-8.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Urbanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Aurora Corvi W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Lucie Petruzelova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Aliaksandra Skapets W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Sara Dols ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jenna Dean ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/08 | Marcelina Podlinska ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Ania Hertel ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Amelia Paszun ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Doroteja Petrovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Milica Stosovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Maria Garcia Cid W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Celia Anson Sanchez W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Urbanova vs Marianne Argyrokastriti?
Our model gives 55% to Marianne Argyrokastriti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.