Tennis · ATP Estoril · 22/07, 15:30
Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
7-3 (W-L)
Roman Andres Burruchaga
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1545 · Roman Andres Burruchaga 1497
| Nuno Borges | Roman Andres Burruchaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nuno Borges (rating 1545 vs 1497).
- Nuno Borges is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Roman Andres Burruchaga makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Roman Andres Burruchaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.9 | 10.7-13.1 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Orlando Luz ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 16-20 | L |
| 29/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/05 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 12-23 | L |
| 19/05 | Luciano Darderi ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga?
Our model gives 63% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.