Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Igor Marcondes
Prediction summary
Winner
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Igor Marcondes
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
4-6 (W-L)
Igor Marcondes
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1495 · Igor Marcondes 1541
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Igor Marcondes (rating 1495 vs 1541).
- Note: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.1 | 13.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 35% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Igor Marcondes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Linus Lagerbohm Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Alan Wazny Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/03 | Alex Barrena Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Igor Marcondes?
Our model gives 51% to Igor Marcondes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.