Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 24/07, 11:00
Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Gauthier Onclin
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gauthier Onclin
6-4 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1524 · Tom Gentzsch 1567
| Gauthier Onclin | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1524 vs 1567).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 56.4% break avg.
- Note: Gauthier Onclin makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Gauthier Onclin | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11.9 | 12.6-11 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gauthier Onclin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Zdenek Kolar Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 55% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.