Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 24/07, 11:00
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Barton
Prediction summary
Winner
Maks Kasnikowski
Hynek Barton
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maks Kasnikowski
8-2 (W-L)
Hynek Barton
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1569 · Hynek Barton 1535
| Maks Kasnikowski | Hynek Barton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Hynek Barton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.2 | 12.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 73% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 62.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Eero Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Francesco Passaro ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Cina Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Hynek Barton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Barton?
Our model gives 51% to Hynek Barton, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.