Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 24/07, 11:00
Prediction: Igor Marcondes vs Diego Dedura-Palomero
Prediction summary
Winner
Igor Marcondes
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Igor Marcondes
6-4 (W-L)
Diego Dedura-Palomero
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Igor Marcondes 1566 · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1559
| Igor Marcondes | Diego Dedura-Palomero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Igor Marcondes | Diego Dedura-Palomero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-12.2 | 11.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 35% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Igor Marcondes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Linus Lagerbohm Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Alan Wazny Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Clement Tabur Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Igor Marcondes vs Diego Dedura-Palomero?
Our model gives 54% to Diego Dedura-Palomero, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.