Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 26/07, 10:00
Prediction: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanen
Team pages: Diego Dedura-Palomero · Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
24.9
Recent form · 10 last
Diego Dedura-Palomero
8-2 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1582 · Otto Virtanen 1553
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 10.7 aces and 42.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.8 | 15.8-13.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 10.7 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Clement Tabur Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Ben Shelton Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 24/06 | Luca Nardi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Pedro Martinez Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 54% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.