Tennis · ATP Estoril · 23/07, 13:00
Prediction: Hugo Gaston vs Titouan Droguet
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Gaston
Titouan Droguet
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Gaston
5-5 (W-L)
Titouan Droguet
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hugo Gaston
2–0
Titouan Droguet
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Gaston 1556 · Titouan Droguet 1573
| Hugo Gaston | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hugo Gaston 2–0 Titouan Droguet (2).
Statistics
| Hugo Gaston | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12.4 | 11.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Hugo Gaston 2 – 0 Titouan Droguet (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hugo Gaston 2–0 Titouan Droguet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/24 ATP Metz | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/02/24 ATP Marseille | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Gaston
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 10/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Moez Echargui Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Federico Cina Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Lautaro Midon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Gaston vs Titouan Droguet?
Our model gives 58% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.