Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 23/07, 11:00

Prediction: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Oliver Crawford

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Alejo Sanchez Quilez Oliver Crawford
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alejo Sanchez Quilez 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLLWWLW
Oliver Crawford 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1527 · Oliver Crawford 1562
Alejo Sanchez QuilezOliver Crawford
Our model45%55%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Alejo Sanchez QuilezOliver Crawford
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.5-0.9
Games (G-P)10.7-10.312.5-10.2
Aces22.6
Double faults1.61.9
1st serve %70.3%69.9%
Break %43.9%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Antoine Ghibaudo
Challenger Segovia · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
17/07 Tiago Pereira
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
15/07 Yanki Erel
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Pavel Lagutin
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/07 Orlando Luz
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
29/06 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
28/06 Mili Poljicak
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
15/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
14/06 Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
09/06 David Jorda Sanchis
Challenger Lyon · Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Oliver Crawford

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Alex Marti Pujolras
Challenger Segovia · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/07 Chris Rodesch
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
1-2 18-19 L
15/07 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-1 17-11 W
14/07 Pablo Perez Navarro
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Yanki Erel
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 2-12 L
10/07 Dan Added
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-7 W
09/07 Robin Bertrand
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 16-10 W
08/07 Mae Malige
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-3 W
07/07 Rigele Te
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 16-14 W
22/06 Jurij Rodionov
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Oliver Crawford?

Our model gives 56% to Oliver Crawford, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.