Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Yanki Erel vs Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Yanki Erel
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yanki Erel
9-1 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanki Erel 1584 · Dominik Palan 1569
| Yanki Erel | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dominik Palan dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Yanki Erel | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.6 | 11.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanki Erel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Gianluca Carlini M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Noah Regas M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 30/05 | Vadym Ursu M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Max Basing Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Adam Martin Espinar Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | David Poljak Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/06 | John Sperle Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanki Erel vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 67% to Yanki Erel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.