Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 22/07, 15:30
Prediction: Eero Vasa vs Maks Kasnikowski
Prediction summary
Winner
Eero Vasa
Maks Kasnikowski
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Eero Vasa
5-5 (W-L)
Maks Kasnikowski
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eero Vasa 1501 · Maks Kasnikowski 1534
| Eero Vasa | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Eero Vasa | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.3 | 12.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 34.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eero Vasa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Sander Jong M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Stan Put M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Amine Jamji M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yassine Smiej M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/05 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Francesco Passaro ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Cina Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eero Vasa vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Our model gives 68% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.