Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Henri Squire vs Franco Roncadelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Henri Squire
Franco Roncadelli
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Henri Squire
4-6 (W-L)
Franco Roncadelli
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henri Squire 1509 · Franco Roncadelli 1498
| Henri Squire | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Henri Squire makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Henri Squire | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.9 | 9.8-12 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henri Squire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henri Squire vs Franco Roncadelli?
Our model gives 54% to Henri Squire, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.