Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 22/07, 17:00
Prediction: Florent Bax vs Paul Inchauspe
Prediction summary
Winner
Florent Bax
Paul Inchauspe
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Florent Bax
5-5 (W-L)
Paul Inchauspe
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florent Bax 1536 · Paul Inchauspe 1576
| Florent Bax | Paul Inchauspe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Inchauspe (rating 1536 vs 1576).
Statistics
| Florent Bax | Paul Inchauspe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.2 | 12.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florent Bax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Dan Added Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxence Rivet M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Lenny Couturier M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Lenders M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chris Rodesch Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Paul Inchauspe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Hugo Grenier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Lucas Poullain M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florent Bax vs Paul Inchauspe?
Our model gives 56% to Paul Inchauspe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.