Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 22/07, 10:00

Prediction: Federica Sacco vs Beatrice Stagno

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Federica Sacco Beatrice Stagno
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Sacco 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWLWWLW
Beatrice Stagno 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federica Sacco 1542 · Beatrice Stagno 1470
Federica SaccoBeatrice Stagno
Our model60%40%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federica Sacco (rating 1542 vs 1470).

Statistics

Federica SaccoBeatrice Stagno
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.80.8-1.2
Games (G-P)11-8.18.7-9.1
Aces1.50.4
Double faults22.2
1st serve %64.3%57.3%
Break %64.3%47.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federica Sacco

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Kristina Kovgan
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
08/07 Ekaterina Kazionova
W35 Buzau
1-2 11-13 L
07/07 Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Buzau
2-0 13-10 W
06/07 Annemarie Lazar
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-5 W
19/06 Martina Colmegna
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
18/06 Maria Mikhailova
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Valentini Grammatikopoulou
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
11/06 Luna Vujovic
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/06 Oceane Babel
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Marta Lombardini
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Beatrice Stagno

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Josephine Kunz
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
27/05 Viola Bedini
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-16 L
20/11 Aleksandra Pozarenko
ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/11 Sofia Barrios Garcia
ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
05/11 Radka Zelnickova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-8 L
29/10 Aurora Urso
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/10 Eleejah Inisan
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
23/10 Aurora Urso
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
22/10 Aurora Corvi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-0 12-6 W
13/09 Martina Capurro Taborda
ITF W15 Sao Luis
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federica Sacco vs Beatrice Stagno?

Our model gives 74% to Federica Sacco, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.