Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Akira Santillan vs Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Akira Santillan
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Akira Santillan
2-8 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Akira Santillan 1515 · Mert Alkaya 1496
| Akira Santillan | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Akira Santillan makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Akira Santillan | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.1 | 12.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 72% |
| Break % | 35% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Akira Santillan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Alejandro Lopez Escribano Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Mert Alkaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Robin Catry M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Akira Santillan vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 57% to Akira Santillan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.