Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 22/07, 19:00
Prediction: Alyssa Ahn vs Nadia Lagaev
Prediction summary
Winner
Alyssa Ahn
Nadia Lagaev
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alyssa Ahn
5-5 (W-L)
Nadia Lagaev
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alyssa Ahn 1526 · Nadia Lagaev 1480
| Alyssa Ahn | Nadia Lagaev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alyssa Ahn (rating 1526 vs 1480).
Statistics
| Alyssa Ahn | Nadia Lagaev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.5 | 8.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 52% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alyssa Ahn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Isabella Foshee W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Jessica Bernales W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Katherine Hui W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Anya Arora W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Anna Tabunshchyk W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/11 | Mary Stoiana ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Nadia Lagaev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Isabella Marton W75 Granby |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Elizabeth Coleman W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Esther Adeshina W15 Victoriaville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Andrea Cabio W15 Victoriaville |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 06/03 | Thara Gowda W15 Trois-Rivieres |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/03 | Iulia Bucea W15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/03 | Esther Adeshina W15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/02 | Julieta Pareja W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W35 Arcadia · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/02 | Kristina Liutova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alyssa Ahn vs Nadia Lagaev?
Our model gives 62% to Alyssa Ahn, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.