Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 21/07, 20:30
Prediction: Anna Frey vs Jia-Jing Lu
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Frey
Jia-Jing Lu
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Frey
7-3 (W-L)
Jia-Jing Lu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Frey 1524 · Jia-Jing Lu 1483
| Anna Frey | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Frey (rating 1524 vs 1483).
- Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Anna Frey | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.3 | 10.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Frey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Alana Smith W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Capucine Jauffret W35 Rome |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/02 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Midland · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Kayla Day WTA Midland · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/02 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Midland · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/12 | Dalayna Hewitt UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 12/12 | Julie Adele Bedard UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/12 | Havana Kadi UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/12 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/12 | Elena Daskalova UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Jia-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Monika Ekstrand W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Chenting Zhu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Jiaqi Wang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Dayeon Back W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Naho Sato W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Frey vs Jia-Jing Lu?
Our model gives 60% to Jia-Jing Lu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.