Tennis · ATP Estoril · 22/07, 13:00
Prediction: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Martinez
Luciano Darderi
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Martinez
7-3 (W-L)
Luciano Darderi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pedro Martinez
0–3
Luciano Darderi
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Martinez 1514 · Luciano Darderi 1546
| Pedro Martinez | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Pedro Martinez 0–3 Luciano Darderi (3).
Statistics
| Pedro Martinez | Luciano Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.9 | 13.4-13.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Pedro Martinez 0 – 3 Luciano Darderi (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Martinez 0–3 Luciano Darderi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 ATP Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/03/25 ATP Miami | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06/24 ATP Mallorca | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | David Jorda Sanchis ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Luciano Darderi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Ethan Quinn Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Francisco Comesana French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-25 | L |
| 26/05 | Sebastian Ofner French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi?
Our model gives 66% to Luciano Darderi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.