Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 22/07, 11:00
Prediction: Hynek Barton vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Prediction summary
Winner
Hynek Barton
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Hynek Barton
5-5 (W-L)
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hynek Barton 1505 · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1478
| Hynek Barton | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hynek Barton | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.1 | 12.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hynek Barton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Marco Furlanetto M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hynek Barton vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
Our model gives 57% to Hynek Barton, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.