Tennis · ATP Estoril · 22/07, 13:00
Prediction: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tiago Torres
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Tabilo
Tiago Torres
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Tabilo
2-8 (W-L)
Tiago Torres
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Tabilo 1519 · Tiago Torres 1573
| Alejandro Tabilo | Tiago Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Torres (rating 1519 vs 1573).
- Tiago Torres is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Tiago Torres makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Tabilo | Tiago Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-14.9 | 11.9-10 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 28% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Tabilo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 23/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 30/05 | Moise Kouame French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 26/05 | Kamil Majchrzak French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Tiago Torres
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Lucca Liu M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Lui Maxted M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/06 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Tabilo vs Tiago Torres?
Our model gives 67% to Alejandro Tabilo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.