Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 22/07, 09:00
Prediction: Mariia Masiianskaia vs Eugenia Zozaya Menendez
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariia Masiianskaia
Eugenia Zozaya Menendez
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Masiianskaia
4-6 (W-L)
Eugenia Zozaya Menendez
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariia Masiianskaia 1439 · Eugenia Zozaya Menendez 1557
| Mariia Masiianskaia | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eugenia Zozaya Menendez (rating 1439 vs 1557).
- Eugenia Zozaya Menendez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Mariia Masiianskaia makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Mariia Masiianskaia | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.8 | 11.6-7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.2% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 62.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariia Masiianskaia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Galatea Ferro W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nancy Lee W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Madelief Hageman W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Federica Sacco W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Sara Mikaca W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/05 | Galatea Ferro W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Viktoria Veleva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Ipek Oz W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Eugenia Zozaya Menendez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Amelie Van Impe W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Elyse Tse W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Marie Mettraux W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Saoirse Breen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Defne Cirpanli W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Louanne Djafari W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariia Masiianskaia vs Eugenia Zozaya Menendez?
Our model gives 76% to Eugenia Zozaya Menendez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.