Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 22/07, 09:00
Prediction: Natalija Senic vs Lana Virc
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalija Senic
Lana Virc
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Natalija Senic
7-3 (W-L)
Lana Virc
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalija Senic 1587 · Lana Virc 1451
| Natalija Senic | Lana Virc | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natalija Senic (rating 1587 vs 1451).
- Natalija Senic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Natalija Senic | Lana Virc | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.7 | 11.1-13.2 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 55.1% |
| Break % | 57.4% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalija Senic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Divna Ratkovic UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Silvia Njiric UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Jana Stojanova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Valeria Garnevska W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Agnese Gentili W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Angelica Raggi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Lidia Encheva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Lana Virc
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Saoirse Breen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/03 | Katy Dunne W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/03 | Madhurima Sawant W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/03 | Camilla Zanolini W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/03 | Magdalena Hedrzak W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/11 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Pia Lovric ITF W15 Sibenik · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Eliska Tichackova ITF W15 Sibenik · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Darja Suvirdjonkova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalija Senic vs Lana Virc?
Our model gives 80% to Natalija Senic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.