Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 21/07, 12:20
Prediction: Dominik Palan vs Max Basing
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominik Palan
Max Basing
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Palan
5-5 (W-L)
Max Basing
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dominik Palan
0–1
Max Basing
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominik Palan 1519 · Max Basing 1544
| Dominik Palan | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Dominik Palan dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Dominik Palan 0–1 Max Basing (1).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Max Basing makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Dominik Palan | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11 | 12.5-15.1 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
H2H · Dominik Palan 0 – 1 Max Basing (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dominik Palan 0–1 Max Basing
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/25 M15 Nakhon Pathom | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominik Palan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Adam Martin Espinar Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | David Poljak Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/06 | John Sperle Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Max Basing
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 3-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 24/06 | Tom Gentzsch Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Paul Jubb Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominik Palan vs Max Basing?
Our model gives 65% to Max Basing, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.