Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 21/07, 14:30
Prediction: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
8-2 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
0–1
Matteo Martineau
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 1611 · Matteo Martineau 1482
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine (rating 1611 vs 1482).
- Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 0–1 Matteo Martineau (1).
- Note: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Matteo Martineau makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-8.4 | 10.3-11 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 0 – 1 Matteo Martineau (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 0–1 Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/18 ITF Tunisia F7 | 0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Udit Kamboj M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Renato Kurmanaev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 26/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Birtan Duran M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Mae Malige Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 52% to Matteo Martineau, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.