Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 17:30
Prediction: Igor Marcondes vs Linus Lagerbohm
Prediction summary
Winner
Igor Marcondes
Linus Lagerbohm
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Igor Marcondes
7-3 (W-L)
Linus Lagerbohm
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Igor Marcondes 1519 · Linus Lagerbohm 1571
| Igor Marcondes | Linus Lagerbohm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linus Lagerbohm (rating 1519 vs 1571).
Statistics
| Igor Marcondes | Linus Lagerbohm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.5 | 11.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 31.7% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Igor Marcondes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Alan Wazny Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/03 | Alex Barrena Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 11/03 | Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Challenger Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Linus Lagerbohm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/07 | Leyton Rivera M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Patrik Homola M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Ruben Hartig M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Moritz Kudernatsch M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Maximilian Todorov M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Jeri Lassila M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Igor Marcondes vs Linus Lagerbohm?
Our model gives 62% to Igor Marcondes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.