Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alex Barrena vs Niels Visker
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Barrena
Niels Visker
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Barrena
2-8 (W-L)
Niels Visker
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Barrena 1458 · Niels Visker 1510
| Alex Barrena | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niels Visker (rating 1458 vs 1510).
- Note: Niels Visker makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Alex Barrena | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-13.2 | 10.8-11.6 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Alexis Galarneau French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Niels Visker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Patrik Niklas-Salminen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Vesa Ahti Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Dan Added Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Elias Ymer ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Barrena vs Niels Visker?
Our model gives 56% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.