Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 12:20
Prediction: Henri Squire vs Mika Petkovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Henri Squire
Mika Petkovic
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Henri Squire
3-7 (W-L)
Mika Petkovic
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henri Squire 1496 · Mika Petkovic 1583
| Henri Squire | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Petkovic (rating 1496 vs 1583).
- Mika Petkovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Henri Squire makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Henri Squire | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12.3 | 11.5-8.7 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henri Squire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Felix Alopaeus Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Sander Jong Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Manvydas Balciunas Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Laurenz Blickwede Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henri Squire vs Mika Petkovic?
Our model gives 51% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.