Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 12:20
Prediction: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Dimitar Kuzmanov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1477 · Dimitar Kuzmanov 1557
| Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | Dimitar Kuzmanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitar Kuzmanov (rating 1477 vs 1557).
- Dimitar Kuzmanov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | Dimitar Kuzmanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.3 | 11.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 36% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Alex Barrena Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Rafael Matos Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Lucas Reis da Silva vs Dimitar Kuzmanov?
Our model gives 55% to Dimitar Kuzmanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.