Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 21/07, 11:10
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels
Prediction summary
Winner
Maks Kasnikowski
Louis Wessels
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maks Kasnikowski
7-3 (W-L)
Louis Wessels
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1526 · Louis Wessels 1569
| Maks Kasnikowski | Louis Wessels | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Louis Wessels (rating 1526 vs 1569).
- Louis Wessels is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Louis Wessels makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Louis Wessels | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.8 | 11.6-7 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 32.7% | 59.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Francesco Passaro ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Cina Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Louis Wessels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Peetu Pohjola Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Dax Donders Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Stijn Paardekooper Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Abel Forger M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Pietro Marino M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Remy Dugardin M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Louis Wessels?
Our model gives 63% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.