Tennis · W35 Saskatoon · 20/07, 20:30

Prediction: Kelly Keller vs Scarlett Nicholson

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Kelly Keller Scarlett Nicholson
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kelly Keller 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLLL
Scarlett Nicholson 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kelly Keller 1487 · Scarlett Nicholson 1487
Kelly KellerScarlett Nicholson
Our model50%50%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Scarlett Nicholson makes many double faults (8.6/match).

Statistics

Kelly KellerScarlett Nicholson
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (8) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.40.8-1.3
Games (G-P)9.4-10.48.3-10.6
Aces0.31.4
Double faults3.38.6
1st serve %51.6%57%
Break %56.3%36.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kelly Keller

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Annabelle Xu
W15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 2-12 L
02/07 Kate Fakih
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
02/07 Elena Goodman
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
30/06 Jane Dunyon
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-1 10-8 W
25/06 Midori Castillo Meza
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
24/06 Yulia Zhytelna
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
23/06 Simone Kay
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
02/06 Kaitlyn Carnicella
W15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/05 Maiko Uchijima
W35 Wichita · ~Hard
1-2 9-8 L
12/05 Luna Maria Cinalli
W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Scarlett Nicholson

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Avery Alexander
W75 Granby
0-2 1-12 L
07/06 Letizia Corsini
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
03/06 Veronika Miroshnichenko
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
02/06 Emily Golovanov
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
23/05 Veronika Miroshnichenko
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
23/05 Ahniya Vustsina
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
20/05 Anastasia Grechkina
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
19/05 Jana Stojanova
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/10 Iulia Bucea
ITF W75 Toronto · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/08 Anca Todoni
ITF W50 Saskatoon
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kelly Keller vs Scarlett Nicholson?

Our model gives 52% to Kelly Keller, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.