Tennis · ATP Estoril · 20/07, 19:30
Prediction: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Henrique Rocha
Pedro Martinez
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Henrique Rocha
6-4 (W-L)
Pedro Martinez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henrique Rocha 1544 · Pedro Martinez 1493
| Henrique Rocha | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henrique Rocha (rating 1544 vs 1493).
Statistics
| Henrique Rocha | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.5 | 11.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Pedro Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | David Jorda Sanchis ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinez?
Our model gives 56% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.