Tennis · ATP Estoril · 21/07, 14:30
Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Orlando Luz
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Orlando Luz
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
6-4 (W-L)
Orlando Luz
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1546 · Orlando Luz 1512
| Nuno Borges | Orlando Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 93% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Orlando Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.8 | 10-10.7 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 31.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 16-20 | L |
| 29/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Orlando Luz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/02 | Henrique Rocha ATP Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/11 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/11 | Natan Rodrigues Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/11 | Daniel V C Rebelo Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Andrea Collarini Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Orlando Luz?
Our model gives 76% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.