Tennis · ATP Estoril · 21/07, 13:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Bueno vs Tiago Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Bueno
Tiago Pereira
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Bueno
5-5 (W-L)
Tiago Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Bueno 1481 · Tiago Pereira 1514
| Gonzalo Bueno | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gonzalo Bueno | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.2 | 13.4-12.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Francisco Rocha ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Igor Marcondes ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Filippo Moroni M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Vasco L Prata M25 Porto |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Bueno vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model gives 60% to Gonzalo Bueno, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.