Tennis · Challenger Tampere · 20/07, 12:00
Prediction: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Marcel Zielinski
Prediction summary
Winner
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Marcel Zielinski
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
3-7 (W-L)
Marcel Zielinski
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1484 · Marcel Zielinski 1567
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Marcel Zielinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcel Zielinski (rating 1484 vs 1567).
- Marcel Zielinski is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Marcel Zielinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.9 | 12.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 29.5% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Jeri Lassila Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Noa Vukadin ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Taro Daniel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Marcel Zielinski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Matt Ponchet Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Kacper Knitter Polish National Championships |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Kacper Szymkowiak Polish National Championships |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 6-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Marlon Vankan M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Yannik Kelm M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Marcel Zielinski?
Our model gives 61% to Genaro Alberto Olivieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.