Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 20/07, 13:00
Prediction: Cyril Vandermeersch vs Aziz Ouakaa
Prediction summary
Winner
Cyril Vandermeersch
Aziz Ouakaa
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Cyril Vandermeersch
5-5 (W-L)
Aziz Ouakaa
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cyril Vandermeersch
3–0
Aziz Ouakaa
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cyril Vandermeersch 1522 · Aziz Ouakaa 1568
| Cyril Vandermeersch | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aziz Ouakaa (rating 1522 vs 1568).
- Head-to-head: Cyril Vandermeersch 3–0 Aziz Ouakaa (3).
Statistics
| Cyril Vandermeersch | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10 | 12.4-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 57% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Cyril Vandermeersch 3 – 0 Aziz Ouakaa (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cyril Vandermeersch 3–0 Aziz Ouakaa
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/25 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 31/10/23 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06/22 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cyril Vandermeersch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Kevin Edengren M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Patrick Brady M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/05 | Semen Pankin M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Sergey Fomin M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/05 | John Echeverria M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Evgeny Karlovskiy M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Aziz Ouakaa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Carlos Ferre Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/07 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cyril Vandermeersch vs Aziz Ouakaa?
Our model gives 51% to Aziz Ouakaa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.