Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 20/07, 11:00

Prediction: Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Takuya Kumasaka

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Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Sergio Callejon Hernando Takuya Kumasaka
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sergio Callejon Hernando 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLLW
Takuya Kumasaka 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sergio Callejon Hernando 1527 · Takuya Kumasaka 1507
Sergio Callejon HernandoTakuya Kumasaka
Our model53%47%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Sergio Callejon HernandoTakuya Kumasaka
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.3-1.1
Games (G-P)10.6-911.8-11.2
Aces0.42.7
Double faults21.7
1st serve %68.7%64.2%
Break %30.9%54.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sergio Callejon Hernando

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Nicolas Tepmahc
Challenger Segovia · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
12/07 Iliyan Radulov
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
03/07 Luc Fomba
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
02/07 Liam Branger
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
01/07 Vladislav Melnic
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
26/06 Paul Inchauspe
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
25/06 Diego Dedura-Palomero
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-1 18-11 W
24/06 Joan Torres Espinosa
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 11-3 W
23/06 Carles Rojas
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
14/06 Lorenzo Bocchi
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Takuya Kumasaka

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Asier Meneses Perny
Challenger Segovia · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Pavel Lagutin
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
12/07 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Robin Bertrand
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Alvaro Jimenez
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-3 W
18/06 Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L
17/06 Yuki Mochizuki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 15-14 W
11/06 Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L
09/06 Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 14-10 W
19/05 Taiyo Yamanaka
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
1-2 18-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Takuya Kumasaka?

Our model gives 64% to Sergio Callejon Hernando, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.