Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 20/07, 11:00
Prediction: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
10-0 (W-L)
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
1–0
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1654 · Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 1608
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Marrero Curbelo (rating 1654 vs 1608).
- Head-to-head: Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1–0 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine (1).
- Note: Ivan Marrero Curbelo makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-5.4 | 13.1-7.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1 – 0 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1–0 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 M15 Kayseri | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Enrique Collar Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Rafael Giotis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Laurence Teunissen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Dinko Dinev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Udit Kamboj M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Renato Kurmanaev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 26/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Birtan Duran M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Bogdan Seleznev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine?
Our model gives 61% to Ivan Marrero Curbelo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.