Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Dan Added vs Florent Bax
Prediction summary
Winner
Dan Added
Florent Bax
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dan Added
9-1 (W-L)
Florent Bax
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dan Added 1555 · Florent Bax 1523
| Dan Added | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Dan Added | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10 | 13.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Isaac Becroft M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Robin Catry M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Florent Bax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxence Rivet M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Lenny Couturier M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Lenders M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chris Rodesch Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dan Added vs Florent Bax?
Our model gives 55% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.