Tennis · Challenger Segovia · 20/07, 16:00
Prediction: Yi Zhou vs Michael Geerts
Prediction summary
Winner
Yi Zhou
Michael Geerts
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yi Zhou
7-3 (W-L)
Michael Geerts
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yi Zhou 1536 · Michael Geerts 1558
| Yi Zhou | Michael Geerts | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yi Zhou dominates on serve: 6 aces and 47.1% break avg.
- Note: Michael Geerts makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Yi Zhou | Michael Geerts | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.8 | 13.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Robin Catry Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Guy Den Ouden Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Michael Geerts
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/04 | Niels Visker Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 28/04 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/04 | Henry Searle M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/04 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/04 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/04 | Amit Vales M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/04 | Duje Markovina M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 11/03 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yi Zhou vs Michael Geerts?
Our model gives 61% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.